With five days until free agency begins, it’s time to officially start naming names as ideal targets for free agency. This week, The Two Man Game will go through each position and determine who appears to be ideal fits for the Mavs.
Money is always an issue, but the Mavs will have their share of cap space to work with.
Meshing all the pieces is just as important of a part of deciding on the pieces. The number one option at shooting guard might not be an ideal match with the number one option at small forward. These rankings will be solely on my own projections. A quick blurb from Editor-in-Chief Rob Mahoney’s free agency primer on the SI.com’s Point Forward will be mentioned for each player.
Note: It’s clear that Dirk Nowitzki is the man at the power forward position for Dallas. They have options such as Shawn Marion and, if they bring him back, Brandan Wright who can log minutes at the four spot. They will only be looking for a backup. Outside of the first option on here, the Mavs are likely better off just working with Marion and Wright at the spot. If not, these are intriguing names to keep an eye on.
Let’s look at the free agent options at the power forward position.
You know the drill. The Difference is a reflection on the game that was, with one bullet for every point in the final margin.
Don’t look now, but Mavericks basketball is fun again. Delonte West turned his second game filling in for Jason Kidd into something special, as from the very beginning he was creating some truly spectacular shots off the dribble. West found Brendan Haywood in the right spots, turning the typically clumsy center into an occasional weapon. He created situations that put so much pressure on Detroit’s defense that Dirk Nowitzki was left wide open on the weak side. He worked the ball around, made a living off of his silky handle, and picked up six steals to just five points to make his Kidd imitation complete. It’s been a true pleasure to see West go to work for the Mavs this season, and this seems like a good a time as any to remind you that this guy is playing for the league’s minimum salary. I’m still not quite sure how that happened, but hot damn did Dallas get one of the steals of free agency.
Preface: garbage time, Detroit Pistons, etc. But Brandan Wright…wowza:
“The attempt and not the deed confounds us.”
What a confusing game.
There are plenty of definite elements in this particular game on which to focus, but no sensible way to make sense of the entire affair from a holistic standpoint. Dirk is brilliant. Caron Butler is painful to watch most of the time, but occasionally looks like a real contributor. Dallas can execute well in the fourth quarter. The Mavs had trouble against a limited Pistons team. Dallas desperately needs more supplementary scoring. The defense is solid, but the offense has stalled.
So, what exactly is it that we’re supposed to take away from last night’s game? Maybe this is a bit of observation bias, but this game seemed to confirm plenty of what we already knew about the Mavs in still unconvincing fashion. It’s not like this was an overwhelming defensive exhibition, after all, nor was it Caron Butler’s worst effort of the season. It’s just another 48 minutes of data to add to the file, flavored with a Dirk Nowitzki shooting exhibition to taste.
There’s nothing remarkable to be found in these four quarters aside from Nowitzki (42 points, 13-23 FG, 12 rebounds, two blocks). Detroit is uniquely disadvantaged in defending Nowitzki due to their crew of regular bigs: Jason Maxiell is too short to contest Dirk’s face-up jumper, Charlie Villanueva is too easy Charlie Villanuevaed, and Ben Wallace is hardly comfortable guarding a player of Nowitzki’s skill set. I suppose the Pistons could have looked to Tayshaun Prince to defend Nowitzki (manning up Nowitzki with a long, pesky defender is a popular concept with most every other NBA team, but Prince didn’t really guard Dirk at all), but would that switch really have deterred Dirk on a night like this?
Nowitzki wasn’t unconscious, as they say. He was very aware. He was logical and calculating. He picked apart the Pistons’ defense with a deliberate plan of attack. Nowitzki didn’t bank on any miracles, only his usual brilliance in even higher volume. This 42-pointer is nothing for Dirk to write home about, even if he was almost two buckets shy of making half of his team’s field goals and two points short of scoring half of his team’s points.
This game is not to be taken too far beyond face value. Rick Carlisle dubbed the affair a “playoff-style game,” and I’m not inclined to agree. The pace was slow, but you don’t play playoff-style games against the Detroit Pistons. The Mavs’ ability to execute in the half-court against this collection of players doesn’t mean much of anything. They won the day, and every tick in the win column is ultimately important as far as seeding goes, but this win isn’t a feather for anyone’s hat.
Had Caron Butler not had a terrific start to the fourth quarter, I’d be tempted to say that he had no redeeming value in this game whatsoever. That stretch aside, for every solid defensive play he overextended himself on offense, for every sound decision there were a few questionable ones.
Something odd about Butler: give him the ball on the wing and nothing — not even light — can escape from his immediate vicinity, but give him the ball on the break, and he actually makes some pretty smart passes.
Brendan Haywood’s performance (two points, four rebounds, and two blocks) was far from exemplary, but he was the top Mavs center in this one. Haywood did a nice job of holding down the middle of the zone and contesting shots in the paint, and while he may not deserve praise for simply doing his job, it’s been that kind of season for Haywood.
Dallas should probably focus on their transition defense. There were several cases in which the Mavs were in position to defend the break, but ceded lanes and open looks to the Pistons. It seems like the Mavs’ defenders are committing too late or not at all, and the zone defense could be to blame for some of that; rather than use the transition defensive front as an opportunity to let the defense set up after an initial denial, the Mavs may be trying to set up their zone too early.
Ian Mahinmi got some second-quarter burn after Chandler and Haywood picked up two fouls apiece. Not much to tell. Mahinmi missed his one post-up attempt (a lefty hook from the middle of the paint), didn’t grab any boards, and played a few minutes of decent zone defense. There aren’t really any available minutes for Mahinmi behind Chandler and Haywood, but I still don’t think playing him alongside either big would be the worst thing in the world. Particularly on nights when Rick Carlisle’s rotation would otherwise turn to Brian Cardinal.
It’s not possible to justify or defend J.J. Barea’s (0 points, 0-5 FG, one assist, one turnover) play in a game like this one. If he’s not careful, he could risk being completely squeezed out of the rotation altogether upon Rodrigue Beaubois’ return.
It’s not always called, but Brendan Haywood travels in the post a lot.
Tayshaun Prince’s (19 points, 9-13 FG, five rebounds) offense really seemed to give Caron Butler trouble. Prince is just so crafty going toward the basket, and his length opened up a number of angles for both layup and pull-up attempts.
Dirk Nowitzki had five offensive rebounds, including a game-clinching board with 18.1 seconds remaining. Is this real life?
Jason Terry (16 points, 7-17 FG, four assists) was slow to start, but he eventually gave the Mavs — and by the Mavs, I mean Dirk — enough points to squeak out a win. JET had a rough first half (he made just one of his first seven field goal attempts), but his nine points in the game’s final 8:40 were a nice rebound.
The Mavs don’t have a very good track record when it comes to finding value late in the draft, though selecting Josh Howard with the final pick in the first round back in 2003. But the stakes have never been higher, with the Mavs’ few young assets weighing their options in free agency and the Mavs’ 2010 pick in the hands of the New Jersey Nets. This one counts big time, and it’s up to the management and the scouting team to find the diamond in the rough.
It’s tough, but hardly impossible. Quality players pass right under the noses of many a team year after year, leaving latent value late in the draft. The Mavs pick at 22, which is just a shade closer to the lottery than to the Mavs’ customary position at the draft’s tail.
Here are the picks at 22 this decade:
2008 – Courtney Lee
2007 – Jared Dudley
2006 – Marcus Williams
2005 – Jarrett Jack
2004 – Viktor Khryapa
2003 – Zoran Planinic
2002 – Casey Jacobsen
2001 – Jeryl Sasser
2000 – Donnell Harvey
Three of those players (Courtney Lee, Jared Dudley, Jarrett Jack) have shown rotation player chops. Lee is the most notable as the starting 2 guard of an impressive Orlando team just one win away from the Finals. In fact, if the Mavs could magically re-draft Lee this year, they’d be in pretty good shape.
Just for fun, here are picks in the late first round (20+) :
Courtney Lee (22)
Nicolas Batum (25)
Wilson Chandler (23)
Rudy Fernandez (24)
Aaron Brooks (26)
Renaldo Balkman (20)
Rajon Rondo (21)
Kyle Lowry (23)
Shannon Brown (25)
Jordan Farmar (26)
Jarrett Jack (20)
Nate Robinson (21)
Francisco Garcia (23)
Jason Maxiell (26)
Linas Kleiza (27)
David Lee (30)
Jameer Nelson (20)
Delonte West (24)
Kevin Martin (26)
Boris Diaw (21)
Travis Outlaw (23)
Kendrick Perkins (27)
Leandro Barbosa (28)
Josh Howard (29)
Tayshaun Prince (23)
Nenad Krstic (24)
John Salmons (26)
It’s certainly worth noting that even the 2005 draft, predicted to be a weak draft class among pundits and largely looked at as a failure in comparison to its contemporaries, still produced productive players late in the first round. Blake Griffin is no Tim Duncan and the consolation prizes may have their flaws, but that doesn’t mean true commodities can’t be found late in the first.
Next week I’ll start examining potential picks for the Mavs, starting with those rumored and confirmed to have scheduled workouts with the team. Some of those players seem poised for success on the pro level, and others may not even be top competitors in the D-League. As fans, we can only hope that MGMT not only makes the right decision in assessing the talent of a potential pick, but also in picking talented players to fill holes in the Mavs’ rotation.